Question

What will be the highest pixel resolution of commercially available optical satellite imagery, purchasable in a NATO country, in the year 2050?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction14.5

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>31

...

10.8

14.5

18.4

2.1%

Authors:

KeaghanR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Technology

WorldView-3

SpaceX reusable launch system

What will public knowledge be in the year 2061 of the highest pixel resolution, in centimeters, of a classified U.S. government optical satellite that was operational between 2011-2021?

6.94

How big will the hyperspectral satellite imagery market be (in USD) in 2030?

708M

Will a city with a population of over 1 million people publicly credit the use of high-resolution satellite imagery in reducing traffic congestion in a specific area before 2031?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

KeaghanR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Technology

WorldView-3

SpaceX reusable launch system

Planet’s Astounding Satellite Images Map Russian War Crimes In Ukraine

Forbes•Oct 1, 2024

Anduril speeds up launch of defense payloads by buying Apex satellite buses off the shelf

TechCrunch•Oct 1, 2024

NATO's Russian Warplane Dilemma

Newsweek•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will public knowledge be in the year 2061 of the highest pixel resolution, in centimeters, of a classified U.S. government optical satellite that was operational between 2011-2021?

6.94

How big will the hyperspectral satellite imagery market be (in USD) in 2030?

708M

Will a city with a population of over 1 million people publicly credit the use of high-resolution satellite imagery in reducing traffic congestion in a specific area before 2031?

44%

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

What will be the highest pixel resolution of commercially available optical satellite imagery, purchasable in a NATO country, in the year 2050?

Make a Prediction

What will public knowledge be in the year 2061 of the highest pixel resolution, in centimeters, of a classified U.S. government optical satellite that was operational between 2011-2021?

How big will the hyperspectral satellite imagery market be (in USD) in 2030?

Will a city with a population of over 1 million people publicly credit the use of high-resolution satellite imagery in reducing traffic congestion in a specific area before 2031?

Comments

What will public knowledge be in the year 2061 of the highest pixel resolution, in centimeters, of a classified U.S. government optical satellite that was operational between 2011-2021?

How big will the hyperspectral satellite imagery market be (in USD) in 2030?

Will a city with a population of over 1 million people publicly credit the use of high-resolution satellite imagery in reducing traffic congestion in a specific area before 2031?

What will public knowledge be in the year 2061 of the highest pixel resolution, in centimeters, of a classified U.S. government optical satellite that was operational between 2011-2021?

How big will the hyperspectral satellite imagery market be (in USD) in 2030?

Will a city with a population of over 1 million people publicly credit the use of high-resolution satellite imagery in reducing traffic congestion in a specific area before 2031?

What will public knowledge be in the year 2061 of the highest pixel resolution, in centimeters, of a classified U.S. government optical satellite that was operational between 2011-2021?

How big will the hyperspectral satellite imagery market be (in USD) in 2030?

Will a city with a population of over 1 million people publicly credit the use of high-resolution satellite imagery in reducing traffic congestion in a specific area before 2031?