Question

What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in July 2021?

Resolved :395378

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction378 (344 - 409)

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CDF

	<0	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2k
community	0.7%	343.7	377.5	409.3	0.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<0	0.7%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	343.7	—
median	377.5	—
upper 75%	409.3	—
Upper bound
>2k	0.2%	—

What was the final result?395

Community Baseline Score

115.8

Community Peer Score

6.9

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Jul 25, 2021

Resolves:

Jul 29, 2021

Trade Signal Tournament

The number of Americans seeking jobless benefits falls as employers continue to hold on to workers

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

Job Openings Fell Sharply In December

Breitbart•Feb 15, 2025

US job openings fall to 7.6 million in December, suggesting the job market is slowing but healthy

Associated Press•Feb 15, 2025

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