Question

What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in August 2021?

Resolved :70.282

13 comments13

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction82 (80 - 84.3)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<50

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>110

...

0.2%

79.96

81.95

84.29

0.2%

What was the final result?70.2

Community Baseline Score

-115.9

Community Beer Score

13.4

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Trade Signal Tournament

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

University of Michigan

While Equities Set Records, Employment Trends, Retail Sales Expectations And Rising Delinquencies Advise Caution

Forbes•Dec 8, 2024

Household finance outlook hits highest since February 2020, New York Fed survey shows

NBC•Dec 10, 2024

November CPI Number Rises; Experts Express Nearly Unanimous Take on Effect on Next Interest Rate Cut

Red State•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

16.1%

Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

62%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Trade Signal Tournament

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

University of Michigan

While Equities Set Records, Employment Trends, Retail Sales Expectations And Rising Delinquencies Advise Caution

Forbes•Dec 8, 2024

Household finance outlook hits highest since February 2020, New York Fed survey shows

NBC•Dec 10, 2024

November CPI Number Rises; Experts Express Nearly Unanimous Take on Effect on Next Interest Rate Cut

Red State•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

16.1%

Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

62%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in August 2021?

Make a Prediction

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

Comments

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?