Question

What will the US Q3 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?

Resolved :24.67

11 comments11

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction4.67 (3.18 - 6.17)

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CDF

My Prediction

community

<-20

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>30

...

0.2%

3.175

4.669

6.17

0.2%

What was the final result?2

Community Baseline Score

38.1

Community Peer Score

7.5

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Oct 27, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 28, 2021

Trade Signal Tournament

Bureau of Economic Analysis

U.S. economy grew at a healthy 2.3% pace last quarter, driven by increased consumer spending

CBS•Jan 30, 2025

U.S. Economy Grew 2.3 Percent in Fourth Quarter

New York Times•Jan 30, 2025

The economy grew 2.3% in the fourth quarter. What it could mean for Fed rate cuts

USA Today•Jan 30, 2025

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