Question

Will the VIX Index reach 15 or below before 9-01-21?

Resolved :Yes95%

13 comments13

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction95% (85% - 97%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

5.4

Community Peer Score

1.1

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Aug 2, 2021

Resolves:

Aug 2, 2021

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Aug 2, 2021

Resolves:

Aug 2, 2021

Trade Signal Tournament

Using options to bet on a bounce in this casualty of Monday's AI stock rout

CNBC•Jan 29, 2025

There's more market pain to come near term, says Canaccord Genuity

CNBC•Jan 29, 2025

Will U.S. Stocks Experience Mean Reversion Or A Gambler’s Fallacy?

Forbes•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

20%

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on the following dates?

6.56k

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?