Question

Will the MOVE Index breach 70 before 11-01-21?

Resolved :Yes78%

4 comments4

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction78% (65% - 93%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 78%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-2.6

Community Peer Score

3.2

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Oct 1, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2021

Trade Signal Tournament

Economy & Business

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Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

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After 2022, how many times will the US policy rate reach the zero lower bound?

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Oct 1, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2021

Trade Signal Tournament

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

VIX

Stalemate On The Western Bond Front: No Trêve De Noël For Investors

Forbes•Jan 27, 2025

The yield on the 10-year Treasury when stock returns disappear

CNBC•Jan 28, 2025

Investors are flocking back to bonds for safety as DeepSeek sends risks spiraling

Business Insider•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

20%

After 2022, how many times will the US policy rate reach the zero lower bound?

3.09