Question

Will mainstream news media report that alien technology has visited our solar system before 2030?

36 comments36

Total Forecasters253

Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

BrianHoltz

Opened:

Jul 16, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program

Neptune

Secretive FBI Group Probing UFOs Worried They'll Get Purged by DOGE: Report

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

The truth is not out there: Agents who probe UFOs worry they'll be pushed out in Trump's FBI purge

Independent•Feb 15, 2025

Pilot Encountered Mystery Objects 'Moving at Extreme Speed': FAA

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

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Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrianHoltz

Opened:

Jul 16, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program

Neptune

Secretive FBI Group Probing UFOs Worried They'll Get Purged by DOGE: Report

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

The truth is not out there: Agents who probe UFOs worry they'll be pushed out in Trump's FBI purge

Independent•Feb 15, 2025

Pilot Encountered Mystery Objects 'Moving at Extreme Speed': FAA

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%