M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?

29
18
Total Forecasters138
Community Prediction2027-05

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2081-06
...
...
...
2025-05
2027-05
2030-07
0.5%
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Demonstrations
Artificial Intelligence
Association for Computing Machinery
Computer science
United States of America Computing Olympiad
Data analysis
Software engineering
IOI

Comments

? comments