Question

How many United Nations Security Council Resolutions concerning Syria will be vetoed by Russia between 22 April 2018 and 22 August 2018?

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1 comment1

Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction0.136

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

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0.0481

0.1359

0.4629

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Community Baseline Score

76.5

Community Peer Score

104.6

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IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

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Resolves:

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

Syria

List of vetoed United Nations Security Council resolutions

Russia

Will the UK or France veto a United Nations Security Council resolution before 2051?

40%

How many arms sales globally will the US State Department approve in the fourth quarter of 2024?

36.2

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

25%

Comments

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Authors:

IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

Syria

List of vetoed United Nations Security Council resolutions

Russia

Russia vetoes UN resolution calling for immediate cease-fire in the war between Sudan’s rival forces

Associated Press•Nov 19, 2024

Russia vetoes Sudan ceasefire resolution at UN Security Council

Al Jazeera•Nov 19, 2024

Russia Vetoes UN Resolution on Sudan War Cease-Fire

Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK or France veto a United Nations Security Council resolution before 2051?

40%

How many arms sales globally will the US State Department approve in the fourth quarter of 2024?

36.2

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

25%