Question
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2030?
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction123M (33.2M - 387M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10M | 16.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 33.19M | — |
| median | 123.3M | — |
| upper 75% | 386.9M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1B | 15.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 5, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 5, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
