Question
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Criminal Justice Reform in 2030?
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
<10M $
(<10M $ - 12.9M $)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10M $ | 61.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <10M $ | — |
| median | <10M $ | — |
| upper 75% | 12.92M $ | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1B $ | 0.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 12, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 14, 2021
Comments
1 comment
Authors:
Opened:Jul 12, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 14, 2021
Charles
·https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/our-criminal-justice-reform-program-now-independent-organization-just-impact
Open Philanthropy are spinning off their Criminal Justice Reform organisation. I'm not sure what the best approach is here.
Either (i) we take the new organisation as part of Open Phil, or (ii) we look at Good Ventures grants to the area, or (iii) we resolve as 0 if the existing Open Phil organisation does not donate to CJR causes.
I've asked this same question on the 2025 version of this question, so I think it makes sense to discuss this there.