Question

Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction2% (0.3% - 10%)

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50%

community: 2%

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Authors:

KeaghanR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

2021-2025 Leaderboard

BlackRock

M12 (venture capital)

Founders Fund

Google says its breakthrough quantum chip can’t break modern cryptography

Verge•Dec 13, 2024

Another record has been set for the most entangled logical qubits

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Google says it accessed parallel universes with its new supercomputer

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

14.7M

Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026?

15%

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

25.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

KeaghanR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

2021-2025 Leaderboard

BlackRock

M12 (venture capital)

Founders Fund

Google says its breakthrough quantum chip can’t break modern cryptography

Verge•Dec 13, 2024

Another record has been set for the most entangled logical qubits

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Google says it accessed parallel universes with its new supercomputer

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

14.7M

Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026?

15%

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

25.5%

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MetaculusM

Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025?

Make a Prediction

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026?

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

Comments

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026?

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026?

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026?

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?