Question

How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction6.35 (3.54 - 10.4)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50

...

3.544

6.347

10.38

3.5%

Authors:

alexlyzhov

Opened:

Jul 1, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Law

Chemistry

Controlled Substances Act

Lew Rockwell•Jan 22, 2025

New York is seeing the hidden toll of legal weed: violence, psychosis and mayhem

New York Post•Jan 25, 2025

Where Is Cannabis Legal? A Guide To All 50 States

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In how many of the 50 US states will it be legal to use psilocybin for therapy on December 31, 2025?

3.83

How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?

24.2

Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexlyzhov

Opened:

Jul 1, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Law

Chemistry

Controlled Substances Act

Lew Rockwell•Jan 22, 2025

New York is seeing the hidden toll of legal weed: violence, psychosis and mayhem

New York Post•Jan 25, 2025

Where Is Cannabis Legal? A Guide To All 50 States

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In how many of the 50 US states will it be legal to use psilocybin for therapy on December 31, 2025?

3.83

How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?

24.2

Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?

70%