Question

Will NASA issue a second fully-funded award for its Human Landing System contract before 2022?

Resolved :No25%

21 comments21

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction25% (20% - 32%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

49.4

Community Peer Score

1.0

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Authors:

GoldbergMachinations

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

SpaceX reusable launch system

Artemis program

Jeff Bezos

Government Accountability Office

Cost overruns jeopardize Artemis moon landing, threaten NASA SLS rocket's future

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

Starliner astronauts won't return home until at least March after latest NASA delay

USA Today•Dec 18, 2024

How To Achieve Government Efficiency In Space

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will NASA replace the Space Launch System (SLS) with another launch vehicle for its Artemis missions before 2030?

80%

When will NASA's SLS first launch a person to the Moon?

2028-12-24

When will NASA next land astronauts on the Moon?

2029-01-22

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