🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024?

Resolved :No1%
Community Prediction0%3%6%9%12%15%Nov 01Nov 05Nov 09Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 29Dec 03Dec 07Dec 11Dec 15Dec 19Dec 23Dec 27Dec 31now
Total Forecasters163
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
55.7
Community Peer Score
11.0
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024

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