Question

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters367

Community Prediction8.5% (5% - 18%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 8.5%

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 25, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

European Union

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Iraq

Georgia (country)

US presidential election

NATO

Libya

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

New START

Could Russia destabilize itself?

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Russia could threaten NATO within five years if Ukraine war is ‘frozen,’ Latvia warns

New York Post•Feb 18, 2025

U.S. and Russia Take 'First Step' With 'Very Useful' Ukraine War Talks

Breitbart•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?

2032-07-21

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Comments

? comments