Question

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters358

Community Prediction10% (5% - 20%)

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50%

community: 10%

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Authors:

Metaculus-Partners AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

European Union

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Iraq

Georgia (country)

US presidential election

NATO

Libya

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

New START

Map Shows Possible WWIII Frontlines if Russia Invaded Europe

Newsweek•Dec 14, 2024

What if Russia wins in Ukraine? We can already see the shadows of a dark 2025 | Timothy Garton Ash

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

Russia Warns Of NATO War Within 10 Years

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?

2032-06-10

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

European Union

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Iraq

Georgia (country)

US presidential election

NATO

Libya

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

New START

Map Shows Possible WWIII Frontlines if Russia Invaded Europe

Newsweek•Dec 14, 2024

What if Russia wins in Ukraine? We can already see the shadows of a dark 2025 | Timothy Garton Ash

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

Russia Warns Of NATO War Within 10 Years

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?

2032-06-10

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

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Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

Make a Prediction

If there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Comments

If there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

If there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

If there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?