Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%
Total Forecasters127
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
98.0
Community Peer Score
2.0
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:
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Resolves:

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