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Question

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?

4
5
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction2.19e-1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
3.16e-2
2.19e-1
5.87e-1
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersAlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Countervalue
Military science
Ethics
Counterforce
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion

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