Question
How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be on December 31, 2023?
Resolved :3.8k3.88kTotal Forecasters71
Community Prediction3.88k (3.61k - 4.26k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>15k
...
...
...
...
3.612k
3.88k
4.256k
0.1%
What was the final result?3.8k
Community Baseline Score
125.8
Community Peer Score
16.4
Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
