M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

17
7
Total Forecasters79
Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

community: 20%
median 20.0%mean 22.0%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Black Monday (1987)
2020 stock market crash
2019–20 coronavirus pandemic
S&P 500 Index

Comments

? comments