Question

Will the UK experience a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021?

Resolved :Yes

136 comments136

Total Forecasters216

Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

37.7

Community Peer Score

12.6

median 95.0%mean 90.9%

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

76%

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

28%

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Daily Mail•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

76%

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

28%