Question

Will the UK experience a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021?

Resolved :Yes95%

136 comments136

Total Forecasters216

Community Prediction95% (90% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

37.7

Community Peer Score

12.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Are you worried about the NHS this winter? Join The Independent Debate

Independent•Dec 13, 2024

Revealed: How flu cases are already triple what they were last year - as hospitals battle 'tidal wave' of infections

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

NHS warns of 'tidal wave' of flu as hospital cases rise 70% in England

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

75%

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

28%

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Are you worried about the NHS this winter? Join The Independent Debate

Independent•Dec 13, 2024

Revealed: How flu cases are already triple what they were last year - as hospitals battle 'tidal wave' of infections

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

NHS warns of 'tidal wave' of flu as hospital cases rise 70% in England

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

75%

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

28%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will the UK experience a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021?

Make a Prediction

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?