Question
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction0.46 (0.0137 - 0.909)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.01372 | — |
| median | 0.4598 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.9093 | — |
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2050
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2050