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M

Question

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?

9
13
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction0.427 (0.0133 - 0.88)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.01328
0.427
0.88
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersMichaelA
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear winter
Environmental science
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion

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