M

Question

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?

Resolved :No
Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction13%

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community: 13%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
48.0
Community Peer Score
8.4
median 13.0%mean 15.1%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

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