M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?

9
12
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction1.69k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10M
...
...
...
...
...
2.4%
286
1.69k
14.1k
1.9%
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Artificial Intelligence
Economy & Business
Artificial intelligence
Computer science
US Consumer Price Index
Philosophy
Artificial general intelligence

Comments

? comments