M

Question

Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11?

Resolved :Yes
35
165
Total Forecasters163
Community Prediction
99%
(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
0.5
Community Peer Score
0.1
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:Jul 5, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 7, 2021
Geopolitics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Kabul
Taliban
Afghanistan
Arg (Kabul)
Withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan

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