Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?

Resolved :Yes59%
6
6
Total Forecasters62
Community Prediction59% (56% - 76%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 59%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
26.9
Community Peer Score
-2.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Canadiak
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2018 Leaderboard
Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario
Kathleen Wynne
Ontario Liberal Party
Andrea Horwath
Ontario
Ontario New Democratic Party
2018 Ontario general election
Doug Ford

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