M

Question

Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?

Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction13.1 (0.465 - 14)

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CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>20
...
...
...
...
0.4655
13.15
14.01
8.7%
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2500

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