Question

Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters76

Community Prediction5% (3% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Authors:

moscars

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Esporte Clube Próspera

Honduras

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What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?

116

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

29.5%

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

moscars

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Esporte Clube Próspera

Honduras

Elon Musk wants to turn SpaceX’s Starbase site into a Texas city

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

SpaceX wants to make Starbase a new Texas city. Here’s how it could happen

Associated Press•Dec 14, 2024

SpaceX wants to make Starbase a new Texas city. Here's how it could happen

Independent•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?

116

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

29.5%

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

15%

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Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?

Make a Prediction

What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Comments

What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?

Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?