Question

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction121k (85.2k - 200k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>5M

...

0.1%

85.17k

121.2k

200.1k

0.2%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

163k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

118k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

163k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

118k

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Make a Prediction

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

Comments

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?