Question

Will the automated decipherment of enciphered historical manuscripts change history?

28 comments28

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction76%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 76%

median 76.0%mean 72.1%

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Royal Commission on Historical Manuscripts

Middle Ages

19th century

‘It gets more and more confused’: can AI replace translators?

Guardian•Nov 11, 2024

Declassified US Spy Satellite Images Reveal Ancient Battle Site

Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

Archaeologists locate centuries-old battle site in Iraq using declassified spy satellite images

CNN•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the text of the Voynich manuscript be successfully translated before 2051?

36%

When will an AI model capable of autonomously generating accurate and complete book summaries be commonly available?

2025-10-17

Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Royal Commission on Historical Manuscripts

Middle Ages

19th century

‘It gets more and more confused’: can AI replace translators?

Guardian•Nov 11, 2024

Declassified US Spy Satellite Images Reveal Ancient Battle Site

Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

Archaeologists locate centuries-old battle site in Iraq using declassified spy satellite images

CNN•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the text of the Voynich manuscript be successfully translated before 2051?

36%

When will an AI model capable of autonomously generating accurate and complete book summaries be commonly available?

2025-10-17

Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning?

30%