Question

Will the US have more than 1000 daily COVID-19 deaths (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?

Resolved :Yes

35 comments35

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

4.9

Community Peer Score

11.6

median 99.0%mean 96.1%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

1.4%

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

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