Question

Will the US have more than 1000 daily COVID-19 deaths (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%

35 comments35

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction99% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

4.9

Community Peer Score

11.6

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

US life expectancy has rebounded closer to pre-pandemic levels

CNN•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

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Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

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