M

Question

[Short Fuse]: Will the Yihetan Dam collapse, killing at least 1,000 people, before September 1 2021?

Resolved :Ambiguous
6
10
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 1.0%mean 19.3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
People's Liberation Army
Henan
Luoyang
Central Theater Command

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