Question

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

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Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction28% (15% - 35%)

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50%

community: 28%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

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Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

Funding Bill Includes Cash For a DOZEN Biolabs to ‘Research’/Engineer New Viruses

PJ Media•Dec 20, 2024

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

10%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

Comments

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

Funding Bill Includes Cash For a DOZEN Biolabs to ‘Research’/Engineer New Viruses

PJ Media•Dec 20, 2024

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

10%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

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Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Comments

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?