🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will Israel recognize Palestine?

11
37
Total Forecasters49
Community Prediction2078-06-23 (2050-05-05 - 2120-12-30)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2120-12-30
...
...
...
...
2050-05-05 17:29
2078-06-23 22:10
>2120-12-30 00:00
27.8%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Two-state solution
International recognition of the State of Palestine
State of Palestine
Israel
Israeli–Palestinian conflict

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