Question

What will be the largest grouping of stars in the Milky Way, in the year 1 billion, that don't seem to be militarily hostile to each other?

39 comments39

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction6.41e-1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1e-11

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

9.6%

1.52e-4

6.41e-1

8.88e-1

Authors:

Jotto

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

11M

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jotto

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Found: A Planet Orbiting The Closest Single Star To Our Sun

Forbes•Oct 1, 2024

Are aliens trying to contact Earth? Scientists reveal 'weird' origin of signal that traveled 8 billion years through space

Daily Mail•Oct 2, 2024

Signals from exotic new stars could hide in gravitational wave data

New Scientist•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

11M

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

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What will be the largest grouping of stars in the Milky Way, in the year 1 billion, that don't seem to be militarily hostile to each other?

Make a Prediction

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Comments

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?