Question

What will be the largest grouping of stars in the Milky Way, in the year 1 billion, that don't seem to be militarily hostile to each other?

39 comments39

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction0.641

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1×10⁻¹¹

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

9.6%

1.518×10⁻⁴

0.6413

0.8875

Authors:

Jotto

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

See the Universe like NEVER before as mind-blowing simulation of the cosmos is released - and it's the largest one to date

Daily Mail•Nov 28, 2024

Astrophysicists Probe Mystery of the Other Kind of UFO

Newsweek•Nov 27, 2024

NASA Image Reveals Hidden Heart of the 'Sombrero Galaxy'

Newsweek•Nov 27, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

3.39M

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

68.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jotto

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

See the Universe like NEVER before as mind-blowing simulation of the cosmos is released - and it's the largest one to date

Daily Mail•Nov 28, 2024

Astrophysicists Probe Mystery of the Other Kind of UFO

Newsweek•Nov 27, 2024

NASA Image Reveals Hidden Heart of the 'Sombrero Galaxy'

Newsweek•Nov 27, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%

In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?

3.39M

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

68.5%