Question

Will the Supreme Court hear Harvard vs SFFA by 2030?

Resolved :Yes70%

29 comments29

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction70% (54% - 83%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

1.1

Community Peer Score

0.9

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Aug 13, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2030

Law

Students for Fair Admissions

Harvard University

Supreme Court of the US

Supreme Court Ruling Could Change How FBI Operates

Newsweek•Jan 31, 2025

Some elite US universities favor wealthy students in admissions decisions, lawsuit alleges

Associated Press•Feb 1, 2025

Black enrollment at Harvard Law tanks by more than half after affirmative action ruling

FOX News•Feb 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?

66%

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Aug 13, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2030

Law

Students for Fair Admissions

Harvard University

Supreme Court of the US

Supreme Court Ruling Could Change How FBI Operates

Newsweek•Jan 31, 2025

Some elite US universities favor wealthy students in admissions decisions, lawsuit alleges

Associated Press•Feb 1, 2025

Black enrollment at Harvard Law tanks by more than half after affirmative action ruling

FOX News•Feb 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?

66%

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%