Question

Will 3 mainstream American news outlets report that a rebel group perpetrated the 2013 Ghouta Chemical Attack before August 21, 2033?

23 comments23

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction45% (41% - 49%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Aug 17, 2021

Closes:

Aug 21, 2033

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 21, 2033

U.S. Government Assessment of the Syrian Government's Use of Chemical Weapons on August 21, 2013

Syrian civil war

Ghouta chemical attack

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Aug 17, 2021

Closes:

Aug 21, 2033

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 21, 2033

U.S. Government Assessment of the Syrian Government's Use of Chemical Weapons on August 21, 2013

Syrian civil war

Ghouta chemical attack

America helped prepare Syria's rebels weeks before they launched coup that toppled Assad

Daily Mail•Feb 1, 2025

100,000 Syrians Found in Mass Grave — Where's the Outrage From the Anti-Israel Left?

PJ Media•Feb 1, 2025

Mass Grave Holds Over 100,000 Assad Victims Including US Citizens: Advocate

Newsweek•Feb 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?

1.9%