Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Trevor Milton be convicted on federal fraud charges related to Nikola before 2024?

Resolved :Yes87.3%
5
13
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction87.3% (75% - 96%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 87.3%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
21.3
Community Peer Score
-0.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Trevor Milton
Ericsson Nikola Tesla
Securities fraud
Mail and wire fraud
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
US Department of Justice

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