Question

What will be the peak in weekly CLI visits (count) in Virginia before 1 August 2022?

Resolved :Above upper bound

13 comments13

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction12k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>12k

...

12k

77.8%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

24.7

Community Peer Score

14.0

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Health & Pandemics

Virginia

Virginia Department of Health

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35%

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

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