Question

When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine receive full BLA approval by the U.S. FDA?

Resolved :Aug 23, 20212021-08-24

9 comments9

Total Forecasters41

Community Prediction2021-08-24 (2021-08-21 - 2021-08-27)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-01-31

...

2021-08-21 21:59

2021-08-24 04:09

2021-08-27 10:56

0.2%

What was the final result?Aug 23, 2021

Community Baseline Score

34.9

Community Peer Score

44.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

Food and Drug Administration

Moderna

Biologics license application

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