Question

What will be the weekly peak percent of medical visits that are for influenza-like illness (ILI) in Virginia during the 2021-2022 flu season?

Resolved :7.54.62

5 comments5

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction4.62 (3.33 - 6.46)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>30

...

3.327

4.625

6.461

0.7%

What was the final result?7.5

Community Baseline Score

36.3

Community Peer Score

21.2

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Nov 1, 2021

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2022

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

What is driving the winter flu crisis in England?

Guardian•Jan 26, 2025

How Bad Are Norovirus, Bird Flu Outbreaks? Cases Compared to Past Years

Newsweek•Jan 27, 2025

Terrifying 'quad-demic' alert as NHS top doctor warns UK is set for 'worst year ever' for flu - and predicts surge will get WORSE

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

How many weeks will influenza-like illness (ILI) activity levels be at "high" or above in at least five states during the 2024-2025 season?

13.3

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

45.6%

Comments

? comments