Question

What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 October 2021?

Resolved :3.68k3.02k

3 comments3

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction3.02k (2.47k - 3.68k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>5.9k

...

2.47k

3.018k

3.675k

1.4%

What was the final result?3.68k

Community Baseline Score

-11.6

Community Peer Score

18.1

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Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%