Question

What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 October 2021?

Resolved :65.965.9

7 comments7

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction65.9 (52.4 - 88)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>135

...

52.37

65.86

88.02

13.6%

What was the final result?65.9

Community Baseline Score

29.9

Community Peer Score

9.2

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Number of people in hospital in England with flu jumps 41% in a week

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments