Question

Will a new State of Emergency in response to COVID be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021?

Resolved :No41%

11 comments11

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction41% (40% - 43%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 41%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

50.6

Community Peer Score

5.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Newsom Declares State of Emergency Over Bird Flu; Is This What He'll Use to 'Trump-Proof' California?

Red State•Dec 19, 2024

UPDATE: Newsom's Bird Flu State of Emergency Declaration Could Be Illegal, Attorneys Say

Red State•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Newsom Declares State of Emergency Over Bird Flu; Is This What He'll Use to 'Trump-Proof' California?

Red State•Dec 19, 2024

UPDATE: Newsom's Bird Flu State of Emergency Declaration Could Be Illegal, Attorneys Say

Red State•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?