Question

Will a new State of Emergency in response to COVID be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021?

Resolved :No41%

11 comments11

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction41% (40% - 43%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 41%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

50.6

Community Peer Score

5.4

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Aug 17, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2021

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Snow Emergency Forecast Tomorrow: When Will the Severe Winter Weather End?

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Here's Why Gov. Gavin Newson Declared a State of Emergency

Townhall•Feb 1, 2025

Hospitals in Multiple Blue States Bring Back Mask Mandates As Fear of 'Quad-Demic' Spreads

Red State•Feb 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

45.6%

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

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