Question

Will a new statewide indoor mask mandate for schools be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021?

Resolved :Yes66%

6 comments6

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction66% (60% - 67%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

26.6

Community Peer Score

13.1

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Aug 17, 2021

Resolves:

Aug 17, 2021

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Virginia Department of Education

Face mask mandates return in multiple states as doctors warn of 'quad-demic' of four viral infections

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

HMPV: Virus cases on the rise in UK as doctors issue ‘mask up’ warning

Independent•Jan 28, 2025

Maps Show Where Mask Mandates Are Returning Across US

Newsweek•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

45.6%

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Aug 17, 2021

Resolves:

Aug 17, 2021

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Virginia Department of Education

Face mask mandates return in multiple states as doctors warn of 'quad-demic' of four viral infections

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

HMPV: Virus cases on the rise in UK as doctors issue ‘mask up’ warning

Independent•Jan 28, 2025

Maps Show Where Mask Mandates Are Returning Across US

Newsweek•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

45.6%