Question

Will Andrew M. Cuomo still be governor of New York on 31 December 2021?

Resolved :No15%

62 comments62

Total Forecasters101

Community Prediction15% (1% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

11.6

Community Peer Score

0.5

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Sep 1, 2021

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2021

New York State Assembly

Attorney General of New York

New York (state)

How to Remove a New York Mayor—and What Comes Next

Time•Feb 19, 2025

New York’s ethics watchdog ruled constitutional by state’s top court

Associated Press•Feb 18, 2025

Who Becomes NYC Mayor If Eric Adams Is Removed From Office?

Newsweek•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

38%

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?

34.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Sep 1, 2021

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2021

New York State Assembly

Attorney General of New York

New York (state)

How to Remove a New York Mayor—and What Comes Next

Time•Feb 19, 2025

New York’s ethics watchdog ruled constitutional by state’s top court

Associated Press•Feb 18, 2025

Who Becomes NYC Mayor If Eric Adams Is Removed From Office?

Newsweek•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

38%

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?

34.4%