Question

Will the first human clone be made in China?

30 comments30

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction38.3% (30% - 47%)

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50%

community: 38.3%

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Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Social Sciences

Technology

Zhong Zhong and Hua Hua

He Jiankui affair

China

A U.S. farm breeds pigs for human kidney transplants

Raw Story•Dec 18, 2024

Two US surgical teams transplant functional pig kidneys into humans in xenotransplantation success

•Dec 18, 2024

Alabama woman receives gene-edited pig kidney transplant in experimental surgery

NBC•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the first cloned human be born?

2040-07-06

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Social Sciences

Technology

Zhong Zhong and Hua Hua

He Jiankui affair

China

A U.S. farm breeds pigs for human kidney transplants

Raw Story•Dec 18, 2024

Two US surgical teams transplant functional pig kidneys into humans in xenotransplantation success

•Dec 18, 2024

Alabama woman receives gene-edited pig kidney transplant in experimental surgery

NBC•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the first cloned human be born?

2040-07-06

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the first human clone be made in China?

Make a Prediction

When will the first cloned human be born?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

When will the first cloned human be born?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

When will the first cloned human be born?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

When will the first cloned human be born?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?