Question

Will the Taliban capture downtown Kandahar before the start of Ramadan?

Resolved :Yes

14 comments14

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

median 99.0%mean 98.1%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Ramadan

Ramadan (calendar month)

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

45%

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

77%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Ramadan

Ramadan (calendar month)

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

45%

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

77%

MetaculusM

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Will the Taliban capture downtown Kandahar before the start of Ramadan?

Make a Prediction

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Comments

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?